Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Francisco Comesana Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Efficiency: Carreno-Busta wins 44.18% of points on their second serve, slightly lower than Comesana's 47.71%. Could this give Comesana a slight edge?
• Return Game: For second serves, Carreno-Busta secures 45.19% of return points, whereas Comesana slightly outperforms with 46.27%. A marginal advantage here for Comesana as well.
• First Serve Returns: Comesana has a slight lead in returning first serves, achieving 27.24% compared to Carreno-Busta's 25.9%.
• Pressure Handling: Carreno-Busta saves 57.93% of breakpoints, narrowly outperforming Comesana who saves 57.63%.
• Overall Record: In the past year, Carreno-Busta has a win percentage of 53.57%, while Comesana boasts a slightly higher win rate of 58.33%.
• Surface Preference: Both players excel on clay, posting win rates of 66% (Carreno-Busta) and 65% (Comesana). Notably, Comesana has no wins on indoor hard courts.
• Tournament Level Experience: At Challengers/ITF events > $10K, Carreno-Busta has a winning rate of 71.43%, slightly better than Comesana's 67.57%.
• Opponent Strength: Carreno-Busta has faced tougher competition with opponents averaging rank 147.29, compared to Comesana's average opponent rank of 187.69.
• Deciding Set Record: Comesana holds a strong record in deciding sets, winning 66%, while Carreno-Busta manages 37% in such situations.
• Break Point Conversion: Both players are nearly identical, with Carreno-Busta converting 29.94% and Comesana converting 29.85% of breakpoints.

Editorial Prediction (May 25, 2025, UTC):

When analyzing the players’ recent performances and stats, Comesana appears to have an edge in several key areas. He performs slightly better both on second serve points won and in returning both first and second serves. These marginal differences may be crucial in a head-to-head match.

Furthermore, Comesana's noteworthy 66% success rate in deciding sets compared to Carreno-Busta's 37% suggests that if the match becomes tight, Comesana may have the psychological edge in clutch moments.

Although Carreno-Busta competes against tougher opponents on average and saves breakpoints more effectively, these advantages might not be sufficient to counterbalance Comesana's strengths.

Reflecting on these stats and performance insights, Comesana seems likely to have the upper hand in this upcoming encounter. The forecast suggests that Comesana is the probable favorite for victory.